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polymarket.com

Polymarket is a global prediction market platform that lets people trade on real-world outcomes using crowd-sourced odds.

Polymarket is a global prediction-market platform that enables people to forecast real-world outcomes by trading on binary contracts. The site aggregates crowd-sourced odds to produce real-time prices, allowing participants to gauge probabilities on a wide range of events in politics, economy, technology, and culture. Polymarket operates globally through separate legal entities. Polymarket US is operated by QCX LLC d/b/a Polymarket US, a CFTC-regulated Designated Contract Market, while the international platform is not regulated by the CFTC and operates independently. The platform emphasizes transparency, market integrity, and accessibility, providing live trading data and publicly available information to help users make informed decisions. It positions itself as the world's largest prediction market and supports a global community of traders, researchers, and observers who monitor market activity, volume, and resolution sources. By aggregating diverse information sources and crowd sentiment, Polymarket aims to reflect collective expectations about future events and to offer an open, data-driven view of uncertainty across domains.

Mission statement

To empower people to forecast real-world events by aggregating crowd insights and offering transparent, accessible markets that reflect real-time probabilities.

Products & Services

Polymarket Platform Platform

Trade real-world outcomes through binary prediction markets with Polymarket.

polymarket.com
  • Binary Outcome Contracts — Trade Yes/No Contracts
  • Real-Time Crowd-Sourced Odds — Instant Updates on Odds
  • Public Resolution via Official Sources — Official Event Resolutions
  • Global Platform with Regulatory Distinctions — Operational Globally
  • Transparent Market Data — Access Comprehensive Data
  • Leverage Options for Trading — Maximize Potential Gains
  • World's Largest Prediction Market — Join a Thriving Community

Market Segments

Billion USD 0 10 20 30 40 50 Event-driven pr… Regulated event… Forecasting dat… Market Size (Billion USD)
0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35% 40% 45% 50% 55% CAGR Growth Potential

Event-driven prediction markets

Platforms for trading binary yes/no event contracts that provide price-discovery and hedging opportunities for event outcomes.

Market size: $27.9B CAGR: 46.8%
Used reported 2025 trading-volume figures as a near-term market-size baseline (Crypto.com: US$27.9B Jan–Oct 2025). Growth potential is anchored to industry projections (Certuity) forecasting rapid expansion (95.5B by 2035, implied CAGR ~46.8%). Independent market-volume estimates (LinkedIn/FalconX) showing $64B in 2025 and $325B in 2026 corroborate high short-term growth and liquidity expansion; all figures refer to trading volume, not market capitalization.
BE A VO 3 references

Regulated event derivatives exchange

CFTC-regulated designated contract market services for trading event-linked derivative contracts, offering compliance, leverage, and official resolution processes for retail and professional participants.

Market size: $45.0B CAGR: 35%
Primary input: industry reporting on prediction/event-contract markets showing rapid 2024–25 expansion (annualized trading volume ≈ $40–50B in 2025). I used that as the primary market-size anchor for a CFTC-regulated event-derivatives exchange (midpoint $45B annualized trading volume). For growth potential, I benchmarked prediction-markets’ recent explosive one-year expansion and broader derivatives market historical growth (Deutsche Börse: ~24% p.a. decade) and large, untapped derivatives volumes (ISDA: multi‑trillion daily FX volumes) to estimate a multi-year CAGR ~35% for the sector (reflecting strong near-term adoption but likely tapering from 2025 levels).
AN GR GL 3 references

Forecasting data and sentiment feeds

Real-time aggregated probability and market-data feeds and analytics used by researchers, analysts, and decision-makers to monitor crowd sentiment and probabilistic forecasts across politics, economy, and technology.

Market size: $1.5B CAGR: 15%
No direct market-size figure for real-time forecasting data and sentiment feeds exists in the provided results. I used the cited sentiment-analytics/sentiment-analysis software market reports (USD 3.4–4.7B baseline with 14–17% CAGRs) as the primary reference and estimated that dedicated real-time forecasting/sentiment feed products (a subset of broader sentiment analytics and market-data feeds) represent a smaller niche—roughly 25–35% of the sentiment analytics software market—yielding an estimated market size of about USD 1.5B today and expected growth similar to the sentiment analytics sector (~15% CAGR) driven by real-time analytics, AI/NLP adoption, and demand for alternative data.
GL TH 2 references

Ideal Customer Profiles

Retail Traders And Individual Investors

Retail traders worldwide seeking real-time market signals and transparent outcomes.

Retail Trader

Maximize returns, improve forecasting accuracy

Curious Investor

Understand probability markets, start small bets

Media And Market Analysts

Media outlets and analysts seeking probabilistic indicators for forecasting.

Newsroom Editor

Publish timely, accurate stories

Research Analyst

Produce forecasts, support investigations

Academic Researchers And Think Tanks

Researchers seeking credible event data for studies and policy analysis.

Academic Researcher

Publish peer-reviewed findings

Policy Fellow

Influence policy recommendations

Corporate Strategy, Risk, And Business Development

Global corporations evaluating external-event risk and strategic opportunities.

Head Of Risk Management

Minimize risk exposure, improve reporting

Corporate Strategy Director

Identify strategic bets

Related Organizations

Common Questions

What does Polymarket do?
Polymarket is a global prediction-market platform that enables people to forecast real-world outcomes by trading on binary contracts. The site aggregates crowd-sourced odds to produce real-time prices, allowing participants to gauge probabilities on a wide range of events in politics, economy, technology, and culture. Polymarket operates globally through separate legal entities. Polymarket US is operated by QCX LLC d/b/a Polymarket US, a CFTC-regulated Designated Contract Market, while the international platform is not regulated by the CFTC and operates independently. The platform emphasizes transparency, market integrity, and accessibility, providing live trading data and publicly available information to help users make informed decisions. It positions itself as the world's largest prediction market and supports a global community of traders, researchers, and observers who monitor market activity, volume, and resolution sources. By aggregating diverse information sources and crowd sentiment, Polymarket aims to reflect collective expectations about future events and to offer an open, data-driven view of uncertainty across domains.
What problems does Polymarket solve for Retail Traders And Individual Investors?
Difficulty accessing reliable, real-time probabilities; need credible resolution sources; managing risk.
What problems does Polymarket solve for Media And Market Analysts?
Need timely, credible signals; integration with editorial workflows; data licensing.
What is Polymarket's role in the Event-driven prediction markets market?
Platforms for trading binary yes/no event contracts that provide price-discovery and hedging opportunities for event outcomes.
What is Polymarket's role in the Regulated event derivatives exchange market?
CFTC-regulated designated contract market services for trading event-linked derivative contracts, offering compliance, leverage, and official resolution processes for retail and professional participants.
How was the Event-driven prediction markets market size estimate for Polymarket calculated?
Used reported 2025 trading-volume figures as a near-term market-size baseline (Crypto.com: US$27.9B Jan–Oct 2025). Growth potential is anchored to industry projections (Certuity) forecasting rapid expansion (95.5B by 2035, implied CAGR ~46.8%). Independent market-volume estimates (LinkedIn/FalconX) showing $64B in 2025 and $325B in 2026 corroborate high short-term growth and liquidity expansion; all figures refer to trading volume, not market capitalization.
How was the Regulated event derivatives exchange market size estimate for Polymarket calculated?
Primary input: industry reporting on prediction/event-contract markets showing rapid 2024–25 expansion (annualized trading volume ≈ $40–50B in 2025). I used that as the primary market-size anchor for a CFTC-regulated event-derivatives exchange (midpoint $45B annualized trading volume). For growth potential, I benchmarked prediction-markets’ recent explosive one-year expansion and broader derivatives market historical growth (Deutsche Börse: ~24% p.a. decade) and large, untapped derivatives volumes (ISDA: multi‑trillion daily FX volumes) to estimate a multi-year CAGR ~35% for the sector (reflecting strong near-term adoption but likely tapering from 2025 levels).
Polymarket — company overview